Tesla reports on Wednesday after the US market close, and the setup remains tense. Despite a recent rebound, weaker deliveries, margin pressure, and rising competition continue to weigh on the core business.
Revenue of around USD 22.1 billion (+14.5% YoY) and EPS of approximately USD 0.35 are expected. This would indicate some stabilization in earnings, but still at a relatively low level. At the same time, investor focus is increasingly shifting toward future themes such as robotaxis, Optimus, and AI, which are seen as key long-term growth drivers.
Valuation remains elevated, while the gap between ambition and execution is being scrutinized more closely. The options market is pricing in a move of around ±6%.
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